We will never have all the facts to make a perfect judgment, but with the aid of basic experience we must leap bravely into the future. Certainly, expert judgment is such an essential factor that must be deemed and practiced in a project management. In looking for an expert to give verdicts and conclusions experience and knowledge must also be considered. As they say good judgment comes from experience. Experience comes from bad judgment. With this statement I can say that it simply implies that judgment must be acquired from someone who had undergone through many situations and experience and encompasses wide range of knowledge on particular matters. Experience is also very important, it is the best teacher we can ever have.
Expert Judgment, does this tool give importance in managing a project? Definitely it is. As we have mentioned expert judgment in majority of our reporting sessions in our Project Management class, it is already undeniable that this topic is familiar for everyone. Based on my learning on the things I have grasped from the reporting and from reading articles Expert Judgment can be obtained from someone who has the enough knowledge on what certain thing you are going to consult. It is best to ask professionals on giving verdicts on your project for you to know what are the observations, simulations, measurements that must be pursued or changed as well as to identify the things that must be improved. Expert Judgment is the data given by an expert in response to a technical problem. Expert Judgment is very important like for instance you are going to determine when it would be too costly or impractical to measure the quantity of interest. For sure, teachers or nurses have no perfect idea with regards to this matter. In order to get proper judgment we must consult to those professionals in order for us to know if our project is good or not. Expert Judgment can be done through groups or individuals, of course with specialized knowledge, experience or training. Either way can be depending on the thing that must be consulted. Expert Judgment can be in many forms. Below are the possible sources of expert judgment that could give aid on your project.
Expert Judgment could be through consultants or advisers. These are the individuals that can be appointed from outside the company. These are the professionals who provide proficient or expert advices. For instance if you need to know what are the best medicines that must be taken then you have to consult to doctors or someone who is in line with this field.
Expert Judgment could be through other units or departments within the performing organization. Therefore these are the people who are part of the company. Preferably other units or departments within the performing organization are good or we can say the best place to obtain expert judgment. Why? Because it can give you less cost or really no cost at all.
Expert Judgment could be through professional and technical associations. These people can give verdicts or it is better to say expert judgment in times of the need of a more detailed judgment. In this kind of judgment technical matters are being dealt. For example if you need to know the code of a certain area then you may ask the associations that are responsible with this matter.
Expert Judgment could be through industry groups. These people can provide general information. For instance you want to know how long would it take to construct a building then you may ask the people who knows better such as the engineers and the like.
Judgment offered by those people mentioned above with expertise in appropriate project area is exploited at various stages of project phase in order to do effective project management. Their expertise is used to analyze historical information, define & ensure appropriate standards, get various suggestions/advice, evaluate different options, determine best suited options.
Expert Judgment has different techniques that can be used we can elicit expert judgment through acquisition, adjusting leads and lags, alternative analysis, approved change requests review, benchmarking, bottom-up estimating, conflict management, control charts, cost of quality, critical chain method, dependency determination, inspection, interviews, make-or-buy analysis, quality audits, training, technical performance measurement, vendor analysis and more. The mentioned techniques can be elicited varying on the matter that must be considered.
From reading some articles I can view interviewing or it could also be Delphi situations method are the good ones or we can say the best among the techniques.
Interviewing can be done individually or by groups. This is conducted in which an interviewer or knowledgeable person interviews the expert in a private or face to face environment. Interviews are conducted by asking questions that will be helpful on your project. It could increase your knowledge in regards to your concern.
The other thing is the Delphi situations where in the experts, in isolation from one another give their judgments to a moderator. The moderator makes the judgment anonymous, redistributes them to the experts and allows them to revise their previous judgments. These iterations can be continued until consensus, if it is desired is achieved.
Though I can regard these techniques as the best yet it would always depend on the kind of project you are engaging with or with the kind of consultations or judgment you want to be done. Like so many things expert judgment also has disadvantages. It may be time consuming as well as cost consuming. But on the brighter side if you just know how to manage also expert judgment then it is really a powerful and invaluable tool for estimating, simulating determining and indentifying factor that could make or break your project. It allows for different perspectives and more creative solutions. Most importantly, when you use expert judgment, your team will be less likely to re-invent the wheel.
An expert is someone who has succeeded in making decisions and judgments simpler through knowing what to pay attention to and what to ignore. Thus it is better to consult and to undergo through this important process in project management.
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